Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Bradley Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105016100 · Polk, FL · pop 1,502 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Bradley Junction
Census tract 12105016100 covers part of Bradley Junction, FL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,502 residents. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units514
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate29.7%
Median income$40,104
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bradley Junction and the region
Centroid at 27.7459, -81.9783 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bradley Junction scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bradley Junction
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.7% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bradley Junction
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bradley Junction
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bradley Junction
1.4
How Bradley Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 9 yrs
- 1.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2000)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bradley Junction
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.8% across Polk County.
The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 1.4/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.1% against 31.5% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 14 evictions over 9 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.0% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
Filings peaked in 2000 at 3.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105016100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105016100?
Census tract 12105016100 in Bradley Junction scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105016100?
Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105016100?
29.7% of residents in tract 12105016100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,502.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105016100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 91th, minority 57th, housing 66th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105016100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12105016100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.58% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105016100 compare to Bradley Junction overall?
Tract 12105016100 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Bradley Junction at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradley Junction; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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