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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105011400 · Polk, FL · pop 5,235

Census tract 12105011400 covers part of Lakeland, FL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,235. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 31% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,770
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$45,816

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0825, -81.9561 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0114003.3Lakelandparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,103Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.1%Peak (2000)
  • 62Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105011400
Filings dropped 45% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Disability prevalence runs 45.9% against 31.5% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 25.2% against 11.3% nationally. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10.

Cost burden runs 53% here against 45.8% across Polk County. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Court records carry 1,103 eviction filings across 17 observed years. At $1,197 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Lakeland commands. It sits 0.7 points above the Polk County average of 3.9.

The worst year on record was 2000, when 19.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011400?

Census tract 12105011400 in Lakeland scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011400?

Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011400?

21.9% of residents in tract 12105011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,235.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 88th, minority 73th, housing 100th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,103 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.39% of renter households, peaking at 19.1% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011400 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105011400 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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