Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Auburndale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105013102 · Polk, FL · pop 3,704 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 12105013102 in the Auburndale area of Auburndale, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,704 residents. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share26.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$49,640
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Auburndale and the region
Centroid at 28.0869, -81.8058 · click any tract to drill in
Why Auburndale scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Auburndale
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,133 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Auburndale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Auburndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Auburndale
7.4
How Auburndale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 472Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2003)
- 13Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Auburndale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Auburndale
Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 45.8% across Polk County. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The filing record is not thin: 472 evictions over 17 years of observation. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 9.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105013102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013102?
Census tract 12105013102 in the Auburndale neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105013102?
Median gross rent is $1,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013102?
19.3% of residents in tract 12105013102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,704.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 91th, minority 33th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 12105013102 considered part of Auburndale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105013102 fall within Auburndale (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 472 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.29% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12105013102 compare to Auburndale overall?
Tract 12105013102 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Auburndale at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Auburndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Auburndale
Top eight tracts in Auburndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12105013002
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105011604
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013200
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105012409
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12105013103
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12105012408
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Auburndale
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Auburndale
3
/ 10 · Low
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