Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Haines City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105012602 · Polk, FL · pop 6,409 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Haines City
Census tract 12105012602 covers part of Haines City, FL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,409 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 38.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,809
Renter share59.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate30.1%
Median income$52,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Haines City and the region
Centroid at 28.1263, -81.6059 · click any tract to drill in
Why Haines City scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Haines City
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.1% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Haines City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Haines City
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Haines City
2.4
How Haines City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 320Total filings over 17 yrs
- 2.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2002)
- 18Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Haines City
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Polk County average of 45.8%. Disability prevalence runs 45.0% against 31.5% nationally. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The filing record is not thin: 320 evictions over 17 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points above the Polk County average of 3.9.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 4.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105012602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012602?
Census tract 12105012602 in Haines City scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105012602?
Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012602?
30.1% of residents in tract 12105012602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,409.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 75th, minority 87th, housing 99th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 320 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.39% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105012602 compare to Haines City overall?
Tract 12105012602 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Haines City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Haines City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Haines City
Top eight tracts in Haines City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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