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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Oak Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014904 · Polk, FL · pop 5,501 · 60% of tract blocks fall in Willow Oak

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12105014904 in Willow Oak, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,501. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 30% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,512
Renter share56.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate32.1%
Median income$59,530

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Willow Oak
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Oak and the region

Centroid at 27.9328, -82.0364 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Oak scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Willow Oak
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.1% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$885 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Willow Oak
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Willow Oak
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Willow Oak
7.3

How Willow Oak compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Oak risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0149044.0Willow Oakparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Oak

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.1% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

At $885 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Willow Oak commands. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $59,530, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014904?

Census tract 12105014904 in Willow Oak scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014904?

Median gross rent is $885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014904?

32.1% of residents in tract 12105014904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,501.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 76th, minority 80th, housing 54th.
Q5

How does tract 12105014904 compare to Willow Oak overall?

Tract 12105014904 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Willow Oak at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Willow Oak; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Willow Oak

Top eight tracts in Willow Oak ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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