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Neighborhood · Kathleen, FL

Blackwater Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,150 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.6

Blackwater is a one-tract neighborhood of Kathleen, FL and houses 3,150 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. 48% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 59% against 32.5% citywide, putting Blackwater 26.6% over its own city. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.3/10. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 292 evictions logged in this tract. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Filing activity peaked in 2001 at 26.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.1% in 2017, is well off that peak.

At $1,331 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Kathleen commands. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $67,083.

One tract means one number: 3.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Blackwater vs Kathleen How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.1% +82%
Kathleen: 32.5%
Average gross rent
$1,331 +7%
Kathleen: $1,247
Average HH income
$67,083 +17%
Kathleen: $57,302
Poverty rate
16.7% -29%
Kathleen: 23.4%
Renter share
18.0% -12%
Kathleen: 20.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blackwater and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.6–3.6

Why Blackwater scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Blackwater vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Blackwater score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6BlackwaterNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Blackwater

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12105012125 3.6 3,150 59% $1,331
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 94%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 22%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Blackwater

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 292Total filings (sum)
  • 10.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.7%Peak year (2001)
  • 5.14%Latest filed (2017)
Frequently asked

About Blackwater

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Blackwater?

Blackwater scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Blackwater compare to Kathleen overall?

Blackwater scores 0.2 points higher than Kathleen overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,331 vs $1,247.
Q3

What is the average rent in Blackwater?

Average gross rent in Blackwater is $1,331/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Blackwater residents are renters?

18% of Blackwater households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Kathleen). The neighborhood has 3,150 residents.
Q5

Is Blackwater a high social-vulnerability area?

Blackwater sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Blackwater for landlords?

Blackwater carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kathleen as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Blackwater?

Blackwater has 3,381 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.2%), Hispanic / Latino (32.8%), Other / Multiracial (2.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blackwater

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