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Neighborhood · Lake Wales, FL

Blue Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,625 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

Blue Lake is a one-tract neighborhood of Lake Wales, FL, population 2,625. The Eviction Risk Score is 4/10, in the Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.9/10. Against a Lake Wales baseline of 40.6%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.7/10.

Court records for this tract carry 267 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 15.6% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 5.0% in 2017, is well off that peak. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,073, close to the Lake Wales average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $50,893.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Blue Lake vs Lake Wales How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.1% +21%
Lake Wales: 40.6%
Average gross rent
$1,073 -3%
Lake Wales: $1,110
Average HH income
$50,893 -9%
Lake Wales: $55,799
Poverty rate
9.0% -63%
Lake Wales: 24.4%
Renter share
23.3% -43%
Lake Wales: 40.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blue Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4–4

Why Blue Lake scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Economic stress
9.0% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Blue Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Blue Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0Blue LakeNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Blue Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12105015401 4 2,625 49% $1,073
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 100%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Blue Lake

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 267Total filings (sum)
  • 6.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.6%Peak year (2011)
  • 4.98%Latest filed (2017)
Frequently asked

About Blue Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Blue Lake?

Blue Lake scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Blue Lake compare to Lake Wales overall?

Blue Lake scores 0.2 points lower than Lake Wales overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,073 vs $1,110.
Q3

What is the average rent in Blue Lake?

Average gross rent in Blue Lake is $1,073/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Blue Lake residents are renters?

23% of Blue Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Lake Wales). The neighborhood has 2,625 residents.
Q5

Is Blue Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Blue Lake sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Blue Lake for landlords?

Blue Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Wales as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Blue Lake?

Blue Lake has 2,836 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.3%), Hispanic / Latino (19.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blue Lake

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