Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Blue Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Wales
Tract 12105015401 · Polk, FL · pop 2,625 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Blue Lake neighborhood of Lake Wales is where census tract 12105015401 sits, home to 2,625 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,073 a month while the average household earns $50,893 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units927
Renter share23.3%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$50,893
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region
Centroid at 27.8578, -81.5678 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blue Lake scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Wales
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,073 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Wales
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.9
How Blue Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 267Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.6%Peak (2011)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 1,300% over the past 17 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blue Lake
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Wales, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 267 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 7.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.6% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105015401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105015401?
Census tract 12105015401 in the Blue Lake neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105015401?
Median gross rent is $1,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105015401?
9.0% of residents in tract 12105015401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,625.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105015401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 100th, minority 58th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 12105015401 considered part of Blue Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105015401 fall within Blue Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105015401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 267 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105015401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.99% of renter households, peaking at 15.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12105015401 compare to Lake Wales overall?
Tract 12105015401 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Wales at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales
Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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