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Neighborhood · Sarasota, FL

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,342 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Avondale is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Sarasota with 1 census tract and a population of 3,342 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,566/month sits 7% lower than the Sarasota citywide average ($1,684).

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Avondale vs Sarasota How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.4% +59%
Sarasota: 34.8%
Average gross rent
$1,566 -7%
Sarasota: $1,684
Average HH income
$61,583 -12%
Sarasota: $70,065
Poverty rate
14.7% +3%
Sarasota: 14.3%
Renter share
39.7% -7%
Sarasota: 42.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Avondale scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Economic stress
14.7% below poverty line · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Avondale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Avondale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Avondale: 4.24.2AvondaleNeighborhoodParent city: 2.32.3Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Avondale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12115000502 4.2 3,342 55% $1,566
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 68

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Avondale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 154Total filings (sum)
  • 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak year (2018)
  • 7.16%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked

About Avondale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Avondale?

Avondale scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Avondale compare to Sarasota overall?

Avondale scores 1.9 points higher than Sarasota overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,566 vs $1,684.
Q3

What is the average rent in Avondale?

Average gross rent in Avondale is $1,566/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Avondale residents are renters?

40% of Avondale households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Sarasota). The neighborhood has 3,342 residents.
Q5

Is Avondale a high social-vulnerability area?

Avondale sits in the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Avondale for landlords?

Avondale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sarasota as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Avondale?

Avondale has 3,147 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.9%), Hispanic / Latino (17.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Avondale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sarasota

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Avondale.

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