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Neighborhood · Sarasota, FL

Rosemary District Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,021 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.6–5.6

Rosemary District is a 2-tract neighborhood of Sarasota, FL, population 9,021. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Sarasota rate of 34.8%.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.6 to 5.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Court records for this tract carry 359 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 15.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.8% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Average gross rent is $1,572, 7% below the Sarasota average of $1,684. That places it #5 of 7 neighborhoods in Sarasota.

For a like-for-like read, Gillespie Park and Avondale score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Rosemary District vs Sarasota How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.5% +16%
Sarasota: 34.8%
Average gross rent
$1,572 -7%
Sarasota: $1,684
Average HH income
$65,853 -6%
Sarasota: $70,065
Poverty rate
21.7% +51%
Sarasota: 14.3%
Renter share
51.0% +20%
Sarasota: 42.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rosemary District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.6–5.6

Why Rosemary District scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Economic stress
21.7% below poverty line · Range 3.1–7.3 across tracts
5.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–6.7 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Rosemary District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rosemary District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Rosemary DistrictNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Rosemary District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12115000200 5.6 4,938 38% $1,085
12115000103 4.6 4,083 44% $2,162
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rosemary District

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 359Total filings (sum)
  • 9.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak year (2002)
  • 5.79%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked

About Rosemary District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rosemary District?

Rosemary District scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rosemary District compare to Sarasota overall?

Rosemary District scores 0.9 points higher than Sarasota overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,572 vs $1,684.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rosemary District?

Average gross rent in Rosemary District is $1,572/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rosemary District residents are renters?

51% of Rosemary District households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Sarasota). The neighborhood has 9,021 residents.
Q5

Is Rosemary District a high social-vulnerability area?

Rosemary District sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rosemary District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rosemary District is census tract 12115000200 (score 5.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.6, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Rosemary District for landlords?

Rosemary District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sarasota as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rosemary District?

Rosemary District has 9,422 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.3%), Hispanic / Latino (13.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rosemary District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sarasota

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rosemary District.

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