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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Rosemary District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sarasota

Tract 12115000200 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,938 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 12115000200, home to 4,938 residents in Rosemary District in Sarasota, scores 5.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,085 a month while the average household earns $51,304 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 24% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,720
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate29.4%
Median income$51,304

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Rosemary District
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#279 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3532, -82.5417 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosemary District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.4% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,085 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Rosemary District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosemary District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 000200Sarasota: 2.32.3Sarasotaparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 359Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak (2002)
  • 44Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150002002002: 119 filings (15.71/100 renter HHs)2003: 86 filings (11.36/100 renter HHs)2015: 60 filings (6.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 50 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2018: 44 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosemary District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosemary District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sarasota, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 359 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 9.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.7% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000200?

Census tract 12115000200 in the Rosemary District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000200?

Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000200?

29.4% of residents in tract 12115000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,938.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 93th, minority 67th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 12115000200 considered part of Rosemary District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000200 fall within Rosemary District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 359 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.10% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12115000200 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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