Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Gulf Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115001703 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,957 · 27% of tract blocks fall in Gulf Gate
Census tract 12115001703 covers part of Gulf Gate, FL, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,957 residents. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,915
Renter share41.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$57,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gulf Gate and the region
Centroid at 27.2759, -82.5072 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gulf Gate scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gulf Gate
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,933 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gulf Gate
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gulf Gate
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gulf Gate
7.7
How Gulf Gate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 191Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2002)
- 36Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gulf Gate
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $57,066, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Cost burden runs 61% here against 50.3% across Sarasota County. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 191 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
At $1,933 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Gulf Gate commands. Filings peaked in 2002 at 9.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001703?
Census tract 12115001703 in Gulf Gate scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001703?
Median gross rent is $1,933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001703?
14.9% of residents in tract 12115001703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,957.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 86th, minority 34th, housing 84th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 191 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.30% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115001703 compare to Gulf Gate overall?
Tract 12115001703 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Gulf Gate at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gulf Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gulf Gate
Top eight tracts in Gulf Gate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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