Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Gulf Gate Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115002004 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,478 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Gulf Gate
In Gulf Gate in Sarasota County, census tract 12115002004 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,915 a month against an average household income of $62,760 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,259
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$62,760
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gulf Gate and the region
Centroid at 27.2492, -82.5062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gulf Gate scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gulf Gate
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,915 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gulf Gate
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gulf Gate
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gulf Gate
7.7
How Gulf Gate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 48Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2003)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gulf Gate
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gulf Gate, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 48 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 1.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.6% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002004?
Census tract 12115002004 in Gulf Gate scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002004?
Median gross rent is $1,915/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002004?
3.0% of residents in tract 12115002004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,478.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 40th, minority 33th, housing 93th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.41% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115002004 compare to Gulf Gate overall?
Tract 12115002004 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Gulf Gate at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gulf Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gulf Gate
Top eight tracts in Gulf Gate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related