Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Gulf Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115002003 · Sarasota, FL · pop 5,401
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 12115002003 in Gulf Gate, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,401. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,645
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$64,269
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gulf Gate and the region
Centroid at 27.2631, -82.5078 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gulf Gate scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gulf Gate
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,502 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gulf Gate
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gulf Gate
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gulf Gate
7.7
How Gulf Gate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 155Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2016)
- 10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gulf Gate
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
It sits 1.9 points above the Sarasota County average of 3.8. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Cost burden runs 59% here against 50.3% across Sarasota County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 155 filings here across 5 tracked years. At $1,502 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Gulf Gate commands.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $64,269. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002003?
Census tract 12115002003 in Gulf Gate scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002003?
Median gross rent is $1,502/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002003?
17.2% of residents in tract 12115002003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,401.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 91th, minority 15th, housing 26th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 155 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.46% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115002003 compare to Gulf Gate overall?
Tract 12115002003 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Gulf Gate at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gulf Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gulf Gate
Top eight tracts in Gulf Gate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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