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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Sarasota Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115000404 · Sarasota, FL · pop 1,271 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota

12115000404 is a census tract in Sarasota, FL. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 13% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units798
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$54,868

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3462, -82.4919 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sarasota scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,070 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Sarasota compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sarasota risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0004044.2Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2015)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115000404
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sarasota

Average gross rent is $1,070, 36% below the Sarasota average. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 5 years of observation.

It sits 0.8 points above the Sarasota County average of 3.8. The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $54,868.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000404?

Census tract 12115000404 in Sarasota scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000404?

Median gross rent is $1,070/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000404?

6.7% of residents in tract 12115000404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,271.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 60th, minority 15th, housing 43th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.98% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115000404 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000404 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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