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Neighborhood · Siesta Key, FL

Bay Isle Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 1,730 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Bay Isle is a one-tract neighborhood of Siesta Key, FL, population 1,730. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 69.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.2/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 15 eviction filings.

Against a Siesta Key baseline of 38.5%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 5.4% of renter households.

At $3,125 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Siesta Key commands. The most recent observed rate, 1.8% in 2018, is well off that peak. At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $151,750.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Isle vs Siesta Key How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.9% +11%
Siesta Key: 38.5%
Average gross rent
$3,125 -11%
Siesta Key: $3,501
Average HH income
$151,750 +27%
Siesta Key: $119,427
Poverty rate
4.8% -37%
Siesta Key: 7.6%
Renter share
14.2% +91%
Siesta Key: 7.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Isle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Bay Isle scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Economic stress
4.8% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Bay Isle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bay Isle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Bay IsleNeighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bay Isle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12115001903 3 1,730 43% $3,125
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 7%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bay Isle

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings (sum)
  • 2.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.80%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked

About Bay Isle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Isle?

Bay Isle scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bay Isle compare to Siesta Key overall?

Bay Isle scores 0.5 points lower than Siesta Key overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $3,125 vs $3,501.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bay Isle?

Average gross rent in Bay Isle is $3,125/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bay Isle residents are renters?

14% of Bay Isle households are renter-occupied (vs 7% in Siesta Key). The neighborhood has 1,730 residents.
Q5

Is Bay Isle a high social-vulnerability area?

Bay Isle sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bay Isle for landlords?

Bay Isle carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Siesta Key as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Isle?

Bay Isle has 1,681 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5%), Other / Multiracial (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bay Isle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Siesta Key

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bay Isle.

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