Neighborhood · Siesta Key, FL

Bay Isle Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 1,730 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.5/10 · range 1.5–1.5

Bay Isle is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Siesta Key with 1 census tract and a population of 1,730 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,125/month sits 11% lower than the Siesta Key citywide average ($3,501).

Risk score

1.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bay Isle vs Siesta Key How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.9% +11%

Siesta Key: 38.5%

Average gross rent

$3,125 -11%

Siesta Key: $3,501

Average HH income

$151,750 +27%

Siesta Key: $119,427

Poverty rate

4.8% -37%

Siesta Key: 7.6%

Renter share

14.2% +91%

Siesta Key: 7.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Isle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.5–1.5

Why Bay Isle scores 1.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

14% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Economic stress

4.8% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Risk score comparison

Bay Isle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bay Isle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12115001903	1.5	1,730	43%	$3,125

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 27%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 7%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 18%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bay Isle

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

15Total filings (sum)
2.24%Avg annual filing rate
5.4%Peak year (2016)
1.80%Latest filed (2018)

Frequently asked

About Bay Isle

What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Isle?

Bay Isle scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bay Isle compare to Siesta Key overall?

Bay Isle scores 0.8 points lower than Siesta Key overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $3,125 vs $3,501.

What is the average rent in Bay Isle?

Average gross rent in Bay Isle is $3,125/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bay Isle residents are renters?

14% of Bay Isle households are renter-occupied (vs 7% in Siesta Key). The neighborhood has 1,730 residents.

Is Bay Isle a high social-vulnerability area?

Bay Isle sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bay Isle for landlords?

Bay Isle carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Siesta Key as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Isle?

Bay Isle has 1,681 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5%), Other / Multiracial (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bay Isle

1.9 Sarasota Beach 2 tracts · pop 3,733 1.7 Lido Shores 2 tracts · pop 5,292 4.7 Rosemary District 2 tracts · pop 9,021 2.5 Lake Tippecanoe 6 tracts · pop 23,555 4.9 Gillespie Park 2 tracts · pop 8,324 1.6 Palmer Glen 2 tracts · pop 9,669

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Siesta Key

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bay Isle.

1.9 Sarasota Beach 2 tracts · pop 3,733

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