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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Venice Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115002730 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,643 · 43% of tract blocks fall in Venice

Census tract 12115002730 covers part of Venice, FL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 9% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,467
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$73,443

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 12 tracts In Venice
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#48 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#2,265 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Venice and the region

Centroid at 27.1019, -82.3983 · click any tract to drill in

Why Venice scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Venice
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,229 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Venice
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Venice
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Venice
6.6

How Venice compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Venice risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0027303.7Veniceparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Venice

At $2,229 a month, rents run 39% over what the rest of Venice commands. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $73,443 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 20.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.

That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002730

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002730?

Census tract 12115002730 in Venice scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002730?

Median gross rent is $2,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002730?

9.5% of residents in tract 12115002730 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,643.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002730?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 65th, minority 21th, housing 84th.
Q5

How does tract 12115002730 compare to Venice overall?

Tract 12115002730 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Venice at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Venice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Venice

Top eight tracts in Venice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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