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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Venice Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115002403 · Sarasota, FL · pop 1,459 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Venice

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 12115002403 in Venice, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,459. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units769
Renter share42.5%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$62,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 12 tracts In Venice
High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#36 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#2,145 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Venice and the region

Centroid at 27.0709, -82.4396 · click any tract to drill in

Why Venice scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Venice
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,933 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Venice
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Venice
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Venice
6.6

How Venice compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Venice risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0024033.7Veniceparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Venice

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $62,813, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,933, 20% above the Venice average.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.

43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002403?

Census tract 12115002403 in Venice scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002403?

Median gross rent is $1,933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002403?

7.7% of residents in tract 12115002403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,459.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 35th, minority 24th, housing 96th.
Q5

How does tract 12115002403 compare to Venice overall?

Tract 12115002403 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Venice at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Venice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Venice

Top eight tracts in Venice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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