Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Venice Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115002302 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,677 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Venice
Census tract 12115002302 covers part of Venice, FL, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,381
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$59,905
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Venice and the region
Centroid at 27.1139, -82.4249 · click any tract to drill in
Why Venice scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Venice
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,275 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Venice
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Venice
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Venice
6.6
How Venice compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 109Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.7%Peak (2015)
- 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 800% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Venice
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,275 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Venice commands. Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 109 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 13.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $59,905.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002302?
Census tract 12115002302 in Venice scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002302?
Median gross rent is $1,275/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002302?
8.0% of residents in tract 12115002302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,677.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 66th, minority 22th, housing 96th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 109 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.39% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115002302 compare to Venice overall?
Tract 12115002302 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Venice at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Venice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Venice
Top eight tracts in Venice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Venice Beach
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002403
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Venice Beach
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002404
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002729
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002730
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002307
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Venice Beach
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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