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Neighborhood · Fruit Cove, FL

Julington Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 12,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.7-3

Julington Creek is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Fruit Cove with 2 census tracts and a population of 12,352 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,137/month sits 9% lower than the Fruit Cove citywide average ($2,336).

Risk score
2.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Julington Creek vs Fruit Cove How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.7% +86%
Fruit Cove: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$2,137 -9%
Fruit Cove: $2,336
Average HH income
$132,673 -4%
Fruit Cove: $137,906
Poverty rate
3.6% +20%
Fruit Cove: 3.0%
Renter share
23.2% +83%
Fruit Cove: 12.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Julington Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.7-3

Why Julington Creek scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5-1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7-3.7 across tracts
3.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.7-5.7 across tracts
5.7
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 7.3-7.3 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5-1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 3.6-3.6 across tracts
3.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.8-4.8 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
3.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0-1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2-7.4 across tracts
7.3
Risk score comparison

Julington Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Julington Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Julington Creek: 2.92.9Julington CreekNeighborhoodParent city: 2.62.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.23.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Julington Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12109020801 3 8,570 66% $2,150
12109020802 2.7 3,782 48% $2,107
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Julington Creek

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 18Total filings (sum)
  • 3.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak year (2008)
  • 0.45%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked

About Julington Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Julington Creek?

Julington Creek scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Julington Creek compare to Fruit Cove overall?

Julington Creek scores 0.3 points higher than Fruit Cove overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,137 vs $2,336.

Q3

What is the average rent in Julington Creek?

Average gross rent in Julington Creek is $2,137/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Julington Creek residents are renters?

23% of Julington Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in Fruit Cove). The neighborhood has 12,352 residents.

Q5

Is Julington Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Julington Creek sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Julington Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Julington Creek is census tract 12109020801 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.7 to 3, a spread of 0.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Julington Creek for landlords?

Julington Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fruit Cove as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Julington Creek?

Julington Creek has 13,019 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74%), Hispanic / Latino (12.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Julington Creek

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