Julington Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Fruit Cove

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 21.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 48% here against 53.0% across St. Johns County.

Court records carry 6 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Against the St. Johns County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Average gross rent is $2,107, 10% below the Fruit Cove average. The worst year on record was 2008, when 2.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.