Model Land Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
2 census tracts · pop 6,701 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.7–4.7
Model Land Historic District takes in 2 census tracts of St. Augustine, FL, population 6,701. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 44%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
69% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the St. Augustine rate of 33.9%. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 1.8/10.
The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 281 across 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2008 at 7.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.3% in 2018, is well off that peak.
Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of St. Augustine, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Old City and Madeira at Saint Augustine score within a fraction of it.
The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,571, close to the St. Augustine average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $61,641.
With little internal variation, 4.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Model Land Historic District vs St. AugustineHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Model Land Historic District
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
281Total filings (sum)
4.21%Avg annual filing rate
7.0%Peak year (2008)
3.23%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked
About Model Land Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Model Land Historic District?
Model Land Historic District scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Model Land Historic District compare to St. Augustine overall?
Model Land Historic District scores 1.4 points higher than St. Augustine overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,571 vs $1,653.
Q3
What is the average rent in Model Land Historic District?
Average gross rent in Model Land Historic District is $1,571/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Model Land Historic District residents are renters?
53% of Model Land Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Augustine). The neighborhood has 6,701 residents.
Q5
Is Model Land Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
Model Land Historic District sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Model Land Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Model Land Historic District is census tract 12109020400 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 4.7, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Model Land Historic District for landlords?
Model Land Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Augustine as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Model Land Historic District?
Model Land Historic District has 6,613 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.5%), Hispanic / Latino (11.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby
Other neighborhoods near Model Land Historic District
