Neighborhood · St. Augustine, FL

Model Land Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,701 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Model Land Historic District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Augustine with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,701 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 69% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 44% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,571/month sits 5% lower than the St. Augustine citywide average ($1,653).

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Model Land Historic District vs St. Augustine How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

68.8% +103%

St. Augustine: 33.9%

Average gross rent

$1,571 -5%

St. Augustine: $1,653

Average HH income

$61,641 -37%

St. Augustine: $98,179

Poverty rate

18.1% +82%

St. Augustine: 10.0%

Renter share

53.2% +44%

St. Augustine: 37.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Model Land Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Model Land Historic District scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts

3.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Rent control risk

69% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

53% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts

1.8

Economic stress

18.1% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.7 across tracts

4.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–4.7 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Model Land Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Model Land Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12109020400	4.2	3,505	68%	$1,468
12109020300	4.2	3,196	69%	$1,684

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 45%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 76%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Model Land Historic District

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

281Total filings (sum)
4.21%Avg annual filing rate
7.0%Peak year (2008)
3.23%Latest filed (2018)

Frequently asked

About Model Land Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Model Land Historic District?

Model Land Historic District scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Model Land Historic District compare to St. Augustine overall?

Model Land Historic District scores 1.9 points higher than St. Augustine overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,571 vs $1,653.

What is the average rent in Model Land Historic District?

Average gross rent in Model Land Historic District is $1,571/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Model Land Historic District residents are renters?

53% of Model Land Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Augustine). The neighborhood has 6,701 residents.

Is Model Land Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Model Land Historic District sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Model Land Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Model Land Historic District is census tract 12109020400 (score 4.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.2, a spread of 0 points.

How safe is Model Land Historic District for landlords?

Model Land Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Augustine as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Model Land Historic District?

Model Land Historic District has 6,613 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.5%), Hispanic / Latino (11.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Model Land Historic District

1.2 Julington Creek 2 tracts · pop 12,352

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Augustine

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Model Land Historic District.

3.4 Old City 1 tracts · pop 2,619 3.3 Madeira at Saint Augustine 1 tracts · pop 4,377 2.8 Lions Gate On The Island 1 tracts · pop 6,130 2.2 Anastasia Island Town Homes 1 tracts · pop 4,104

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