Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Madeira at Saint Augustine Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Augustine

Tract 12109020903 · St. Johns, FL · pop 4,377 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 12109020903 sits in the Madeira at Saint Augustine area of St. Augustine, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 23% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,720

Renter share42.2%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate9.2%

Median income$75,756

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Augustine and the region

Centroid at 29.9247, -81.3426 · click any tract to drill in

Why Madeira at Saint Augustine scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Augustine

4.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.7

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

9.2% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,782 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Augustine

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Augustine

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Augustine

1.8

How Madeira at Saint Augustine compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

25%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Madeira at Saint Augustine

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Cost burden runs 45% here against 53.0% across St. Johns County. Against the St. Johns County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,782, close to the St. Augustine average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $75,756.

42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109020903

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020903?

Census tract 12109020903 in the Madeira at Saint Augustine neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12109020903?

Median gross rent is $1,782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020903?

9.2% of residents in tract 12109020903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,377.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 51th, minority 38th, housing 58th.

Is tract 12109020903 considered part of Madeira at Saint Augustine?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109020903 fall within Madeira at Saint Augustine (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12109020903 compare to St. Augustine overall?

Tract 12109020903 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Augustine at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Augustine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Augustine

Top eight tracts in St. Augustine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.