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Neighborhood · St. Augustine, FL

Old City Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,619 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Old City maps to a single census tract in St. Augustine, FL, population 2,619. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

At $1,002 a month, rents sit 39% under what the rest of St. Augustine commands. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.8/10. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the St. Augustine rate of 33.9%.

The filing record is not thin: 58 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 2.9% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.4% in 2018, is well off that peak. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of St. Augustine, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third.

Only 28% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Madeira at Saint Augustine and Model Land Historic District score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $64,963, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Old City vs St. Augustine How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.5% +17%
St. Augustine: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,002 -39%
St. Augustine: $1,653
Average HH income
$64,963 -34%
St. Augustine: $98,179
Poverty rate
8.2% -18%
St. Augustine: 10.0%
Renter share
27.5% -26%
St. Augustine: 37.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old City and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Old City scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Old City vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Old City score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Old CityNeighborhood3.3Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Old City

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12109020200 4.5 2,619 39% $1,002
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 20

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 24%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 22%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Old City

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 58Total filings (sum)
  • 2.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak year (2010)
  • 1.43%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked

About Old City

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Old City?

Old City scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Old City compare to St. Augustine overall?

Old City scores 1.2 points higher than St. Augustine overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,002 vs $1,653.
Q3

What is the average rent in Old City?

Average gross rent in Old City is $1,002/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Old City residents are renters?

28% of Old City households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Augustine). The neighborhood has 2,619 residents.
Q5

Is Old City a high social-vulnerability area?

Old City sits in the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Old City for landlords?

Old City carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Augustine as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Old City?

Old City has 2,528 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.5%), Hispanic / Latino (6.8%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old City

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Augustine

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Old City.

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