Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Samara Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , World Golf Village
Tract 12109020905 · St. Johns, FL · pop 9,801 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
12109020905 is a census tract in the Samara Lakes area of World Golf Village, FL. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units3,943
Renter share6.3%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$109,850
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across World Golf Village and the region
Centroid at 29.9414, -81.5074 · click any tract to drill in
Why Samara Lakes scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from World Golf Village
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,511 rent vs county FMR
9.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from World Golf Village
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from World Golf Village
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from World Golf Village
1.0
How Samara Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Samara Lakes
The voucher gap is 45.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.5/10. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the St. Johns County average of 53.0%.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10.
At $2,511 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of World Golf Village commands. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10. It tracks the St. Johns County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $109,850.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109020905
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020905?
Census tract 12109020905 in the Samara Lakes neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109020905?
Median gross rent is $2,511/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020905?
9.0% of residents in tract 12109020905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,801.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020905?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 47th, minority 60th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 12109020905 considered part of Samara Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109020905 fall within Samara Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12109020905 compare to World Golf Village overall?
Tract 12109020905 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of World Golf Village at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from World Golf Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in World Golf Village
Top eight tracts in World Golf Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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