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Neighborhood · Buford, GA

Dakota Mill Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 12,722 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.4–4.6

Dakota Mill Creek takes in 3 census tracts of Buford, GA and houses 12,722 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 39%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Buford baseline of 32.8%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Average gross rent is $1,857, 37% above the Buford average of $1,357.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.4 to 4.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. For a like-for-like read, Woodbriar East and Pebble Brook score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $77,325. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Dakota Mill Creek vs Buford How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.9% +77%
Buford: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,857 +37%
Buford: $1,357
Average HH income
$77,325 +8%
Buford: $71,598
Poverty rate
7.9% -31%
Buford: 11.4%
Renter share
40.4% +27%
Buford: 31.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dakota Mill Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.4–4.6

Why Dakota Mill Creek scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.0–6.3 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 2.0–6.7 across tracts
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.3–5.0 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 4.0–6.4 across tracts
5.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–6.2 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
7.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.9 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–5.9 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Dakota Mill Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dakota Mill Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.1Dakota Mill CreekNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dakota Mill Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 3.4 to 4.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Dakota Mill Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13135050634 4.6 6,518 66% $1,986
13135050633 3.7 2,504 56% $1,563
13135050611 3.4 3,700 44% $1,829
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 8%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Dakota Mill Creek

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,362Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.8Avg monthly observed
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Atlanta, GA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dakota Mill Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dakota Mill Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dakota Mill Creek?

Dakota Mill Creek scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dakota Mill Creek compare to Buford overall?

Dakota Mill Creek scores 0.1 points higher than Buford overall (4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,857 vs $1,357.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dakota Mill Creek?

Average gross rent in Dakota Mill Creek is $1,857/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dakota Mill Creek residents are renters?

40% of Dakota Mill Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Buford). The neighborhood has 12,722 residents.
Q5

Is Dakota Mill Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Dakota Mill Creek sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Dakota Mill Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dakota Mill Creek is census tract 13135050634 (score 4.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 4.6, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Dakota Mill Creek for landlords?

Dakota Mill Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buford as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Dakota Mill Creek?

Dakota Mill Creek has 12,334 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (27.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.9%), Hispanic / Latino (22.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dakota Mill Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buford

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dakota Mill Creek.

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