Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Wild Fern Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gainesville
Tract 13139000703 ·
Hall County, GA · pop 4,233 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 13139000703 in the Wild Fern area of Gainesville, GA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,233 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 40%Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,000
Renter share63.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$44,845
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Wild Fern
Moderate
Within parent city
72th percentile
#8 of 26 tracts In Gainesville
Elevated
Within county
94th percentile
#4 of 50 tracts In Hall County
Very High
Within state
97th percentile
#76 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 34.2987, -83.7807 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wild Fern scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
How Wild Fern compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
97%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
27.6%Housing insecurity
17.3%Utility-shutoff threat
35.6%Food insecurity
29.1%SNAP enrollment
17.5%Transit barriers
26.6%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
39.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wild Fern
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9/10.
Food insecurity runs 35.6% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Hall County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 29.1% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Against Hall County at 44.6%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,180, 9% below the Gainesville average.
That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.
Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $44,845.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 13139000703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139000703?
Census tract 13139000703 in the Wild Fern neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13139000703?
Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13139000703?
24.4% of residents in tract 13139000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,233.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13139000703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 80th, minority 76th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 13139000703 considered part of Wild Fern?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139000703 fall within Wild Fern (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13139000703 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13139000703 compare to Gainesville overall?
Tract 13139000703 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.