Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Waterford Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 13139001007 · Hall County, GA · pop 2,580 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 13139001007 belongs to Waterford in Gainesville, Georgia. It is home to 2,580 residents and scores 6.3/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 83% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,214 a month while the average household earns $45,754 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 34% Owners 19%

Tract context

Occupied units723

Renter share81.2%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate21.7%

Median income$45,754

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 34.2792, -83.8601 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterford scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Gainesville

3.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.8

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

21.7% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,214 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Gainesville

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Gainesville

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Gainesville

7.9

How Waterford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

35.9%Housing insecurity
23.7%Utility-shutoff threat
48.8%Food insecurity
43.7%SNAP enrollment
24.1%Transit barriers
35.9%No health insurance
23.4%Frequent mental distress
44.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterford

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hall County average of 5.6 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 35.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13139001007

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139001007?

Census tract 13139001007 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13139001007?

Median gross rent is $1,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13139001007?

21.7% of residents in tract 13139001007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,580.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13139001007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 99th, minority 91th, housing 94th.

Is tract 13139001007 considered part of Waterford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139001007 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 13139001007 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13139001007 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 13139001007 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.