Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gainesville
Tract 13139001007 · Hall County, GA · pop 2,580 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 13139001007 covers part of the Waterford area of Gainesville, GA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,580. Food insecurity runs 48.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units723
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$45,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 34.2792, -83.8601 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,214 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.9%Housing insecurity
- 23.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.8%Food insecurity
- 43.7%SNAP enrollment
- 24.1%Transit barriers
- 35.9%No health insurance
- 23.4%Frequent mental distress
- 44.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Housing insecurity runs 35.9% against 14.2% nationally. Against Hall County at 44.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9/10. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Hall County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,214, close to the Gainesville average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 13139001007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139001007?
Census tract 13139001007 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13139001007?
Median gross rent is $1,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13139001007?
21.7% of residents in tract 13139001007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,580.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13139001007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 99th, minority 91th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 13139001007 considered part of Waterford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139001007 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13139001007 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13139001007 compare to Gainesville overall?
Tract 13139001007 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
13139001202
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Tyner
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Wild Fern
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Rainbow Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Lanier Valley
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Green Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Westside
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13139001204
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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