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Neighborhood · Valdosta, GA

Provident Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,531 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.6–7

Provident is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Valdosta with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,531 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $925/month sits 12% lower than the Valdosta citywide average ($1,054).

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Provident vs Valdosta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.4% +49%
Valdosta: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$925 -12%
Valdosta: $1,054
Average HH income
$25,607 -44%
Valdosta: $45,849
Poverty rate
49.8% +86%
Valdosta: 26.8%
Renter share
84.3% +45%
Valdosta: 58.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Provident and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.6–7

Why Provident scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
84% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Economic stress
49.8% below poverty line · Range 8.7–10.0 across tracts
9.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–3.6 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Provident vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Provident score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Provident: 6.96.9ProvidentNeighborhoodParent city: 2.82.8Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Provident

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13185011301 7 4,788 55% $906
13185010900 6.6 1,743 42% $979
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Provident

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Provident

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Provident?

Provident scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Provident compare to Valdosta overall?

Provident scores 4.1 points higher than Valdosta overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $925 vs $1,054.
Q3

What is the average rent in Provident?

Average gross rent in Provident is $925/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Provident residents are renters?

84% of Provident households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Valdosta). The neighborhood has 6,531 residents.
Q5

Is Provident a high social-vulnerability area?

Provident sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Provident have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Provident is census tract 13185011301 (score 7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.6 to 7, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Provident for landlords?

Provident carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Valdosta as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Provident?

Provident has 6,209 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (70.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Hispanic / Latino (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Provident

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Valdosta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Provident.

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