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Neighborhood · Valdosta, GA

Provident Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,531 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 6.7–6.7

Provident spans 2 census tracts of Valdosta, GA, population 6,531. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.7/10, in the Elevated tier. about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Valdosta rate of 34.6%.

The poverty rate is 50%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 9.7/10.

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. 24.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 8.1/10. Disability prevalence reaches 44.6% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. At $925 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Valdosta commands.

Among the 14 mapped neighborhoods of Valdosta, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Prescott and Forrest Place.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Provident vs Valdosta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.4% +49%
Valdosta: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$925 -12%
Valdosta: $1,054
Average HH income
$25,607 -44%
Valdosta: $45,849
Poverty rate
49.8% +86%
Valdosta: 26.8%
Renter share
84.3% +45%
Valdosta: 58.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Provident and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.7–6.7

Why Provident scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
84% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Economic stress
49.8% below poverty line · Range 8.7–10.0 across tracts
9.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–3.6 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Provident vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Provident score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.7ProvidentNeighborhood5.3Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Provident

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13185011301 6.7 4,788 55% $906
13185010900 6.7 1,743 42% $979
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Provident

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Provident

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Provident?

Provident scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Provident compare to Valdosta overall?

Provident scores 1.4 points higher than Valdosta overall (5.3/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $925 vs $1,054.
Q3

What is the average rent in Provident?

Average gross rent in Provident is $925/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Provident residents are renters?

84% of Provident households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Valdosta). The neighborhood has 6,531 residents.
Q5

Is Provident a high social-vulnerability area?

Provident sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Provident have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Provident is census tract 13185011301 (score 6.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 6.7, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Provident for landlords?

Provident carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Valdosta as a whole (5.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Provident?

Provident has 6,209 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (70.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Hispanic / Latino (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Provident

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Valdosta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Provident.

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