Provident Eviction Risk: Elevated , Valdosta

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 55%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $22,834, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.6/10.

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10.

Against Lowndes County at 42.1%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 30.3% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 1.8 points above the Lowndes County average of 4.9. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $906 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Valdosta commands.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.