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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Provident Eviction Risk: Elevated , Valdosta

Tract 13185011301 · Lowndes County, GA · pop 4,788 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

For landlords sizing up Provident in Valdosta, census tract 13185011301 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $906 a month while the average household earns $22,834 a year, roughly 48% of income at the averages. About 93% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 42% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units2,051
Renter share93.3%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate55.2%
Median income$22,834

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Provident
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 18 tracts In Valdosta
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 29 tracts In Lowndes County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Valdosta and the region

Centroid at 30.8425, -83.3159 · click any tract to drill in

Why Provident scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Valdosta
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
55.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$906 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valdosta
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valdosta
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valdosta
8.1

How Provident compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Provident risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.07.0This tracttract 011301Valdosta: 2.82.8Valdostaparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Provident. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Provident

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lowndes County average of 6.1 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13185011301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13185011301?

Census tract 13185011301 in the Provident neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13185011301?

Median gross rent is $906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13185011301?

55.2% of residents in tract 13185011301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,788.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13185011301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 20th, minority 80th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 13185011301 considered part of Provident?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13185011301 fall within Provident (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 13185011301 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 13185011301 compare to Valdosta overall?

Tract 13185011301 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Valdosta at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Valdosta

Top eight tracts in Valdosta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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