Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Goodale Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Augusta

Tract 13245010601 · Richmond County, GA · pop 2,809 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

13245010601 is a census tract in the Goodale Place area of Augusta, GA. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,809 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 25% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,091

Renter share64.3%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate34.6%

Median income$31,365

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Augusta and the region

Centroid at 33.4597, -81.9317 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goodale Place scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Augusta

7.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

34.6% poverty · this tract

8.6

Supply constraint

$819 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Augusta

1.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Augusta

3.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Augusta

3.2

How Goodale Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

35.0%Housing insecurity
27.4%Utility-shutoff threat
47.2%Food insecurity
49.9%SNAP enrollment
23.8%Transit barriers
19.2%No health insurance
22.8%Frequent mental distress
47.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goodale Place

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Housing insecurity runs 35.0% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 27.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.2/10. At $819 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Augusta commands. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.6/10.

Against Richmond County at 51.1%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Richmond County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13245010601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13245010601?

Census tract 13245010601 in the Goodale Place neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13245010601?

Median gross rent is $819/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13245010601?

34.6% of residents in tract 13245010601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,809.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13245010601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 74th, minority 90th, housing 71th.

Is tract 13245010601 considered part of Goodale Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13245010601 fall within Goodale Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 13245010601 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13245010601 compare to Augusta overall?

Tract 13245010601 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Augusta at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Augusta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 13245010601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Augusta

Top eight tracts in Augusta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.