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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Moiliili Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003002600 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,981 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 8/10, tract 15003002600 in the Moiliili area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,981. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 27% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,836
Renter share67.4%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$55,571

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 33 tracts In Moiliili
Elevated
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2956, -157.8276 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moiliili scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,584 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Moiliili compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moiliili risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0026006.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moiliili. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moiliili

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $55,571, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,584, 13% below the Urban Honolulu average.

Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002600?

Census tract 15003002600 in the Moiliili neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003002600?

Median gross rent is $1,584/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002600?

20.0% of residents in tract 15003002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,981.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 44th, minority 90th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 15003002600 considered part of Moiliili?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002600 fall within Moiliili (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003002600 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003002600 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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