Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Idaho Falls
Tract 16019970800 ·
Bonneville County, ID · pop 3,525 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 16019970800 covers part of the Downtown area of Idaho Falls, ID, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,525. roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Bonneville County average of 32.8%.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%Stable renters 10%Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$58,326
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33th percentile
#3 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Low
Within parent city
71th percentile
#5 of 15 tracts In Idaho Falls
Elevated
Within county
83th percentile
#5 of 24 tracts In Bonneville County
High
Within state
80th percentile
#94 of 456 tracts In Idaho
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Idaho Falls and the region
Centroid at 43.4909, -112.0149 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Idaho Falls
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$976 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.5
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.4%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
15.6%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
36.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.
20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
It sits 0.7 points above the Bonneville County average of 3.5. At $976 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Idaho Falls commands.
Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $58,326. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 16019970800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16019970800?
Census tract 16019970800 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 16019970800?
Median gross rent is $976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 16019970800?
14.1% of residents in tract 16019970800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,525.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 16019970800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 54th, minority 30th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 16019970800 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 16019970800 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 16019970800 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 16019970800 compare to Idaho Falls overall?
Tract 16019970800 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Idaho Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Idaho Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Idaho Falls
Top eight tracts in Idaho Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.