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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Idaho Falls

Tract 16019971200 · Bonneville County, ID · pop 4,529 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 16019971200, home to 4,529 residents in Downtown in Idaho Falls, scores 4.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #70,468 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $857 a month against an average household income of $35,981 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 23% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,136
Renter share57.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$35,981

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 15 tracts In Idaho Falls
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 24 tracts In Bonneville County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 456 tracts In Idaho
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Idaho Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.5067, -112.0450 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Idaho Falls
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$857 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 971200Idaho Falls: 1.91.9Idaho Fallsparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Idaho Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bonneville County average of 3.4 and in line with the Idaho statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 16019971200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16019971200?

Census tract 16019971200 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 16019971200?

Median gross rent is $857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 16019971200?

26.7% of residents in tract 16019971200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,529.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 16019971200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 61th, minority 33th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 16019971200 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 16019971200 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 16019971200 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 16019971200 compare to Idaho Falls overall?

Tract 16019971200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Idaho Falls at 1.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Idaho Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Idaho Falls

Top eight tracts in Idaho Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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