Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Idaho Falls

Tract 16019971100 · Bonneville County, ID · pop 3,233 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 16019971100 in the Downtown area of Idaho Falls, ID reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 59% here against 32.8% across Bonneville County.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 23% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,508

Renter share55.3%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate14.2%

Median income$49,191

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Idaho Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.4912, -112.0301 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Idaho Falls

2.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.8

State political climate

Idaho legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

14.2% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$829 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Idaho Falls

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Idaho Falls

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Idaho Falls

1.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.9%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
14.1%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
10.9%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
32.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $829 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Idaho Falls commands. It sits 1.0 points above the Bonneville County average of 3.5.

Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the ID average is 3.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $49,191.

55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 16019971100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16019971100?

Census tract 16019971100 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 16019971100?

Median gross rent is $829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 16019971100?

14.2% of residents in tract 16019971100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,233.

How socially vulnerable is tract 16019971100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 45th, minority 33th, housing 61th.

Is tract 16019971100 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 16019971100 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 16019971100 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 16019971100 compare to Idaho Falls overall?

Tract 16019971100 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Idaho Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Idaho Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Idaho Falls

Top eight tracts in Idaho Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.