Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower , Idaho Falls
Tract 16019971000 ·
Bonneville County, ID · pop 4,783 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 16019971000 in the Downtown area of Idaho Falls, ID reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,783. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 22%Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,049
Renter share30.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$72,527
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
57th percentile
#7 of 15 tracts In Idaho Falls
Elevated
Within county
65th percentile
#9 of 24 tracts In Bonneville County
Elevated
Within state
65th percentile
#160 of 456 tracts In Idaho
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Idaho Falls and the region
Centroid at 43.4745, -112.0410 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Idaho Falls
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,060 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.5
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.2%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 27% here against 32.8% across Bonneville County.
That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $72,527, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Bonneville County average of 3.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,060, close to the Idaho Falls average.
31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 16019971000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16019971000?
Census tract 16019971000 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 16019971000?
Median gross rent is $1,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 16019971000?
12.2% of residents in tract 16019971000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,783.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 16019971000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 93th, minority 27th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 16019971000 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 16019971000 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 16019971000 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 16019971000 compare to Idaho Falls overall?
Tract 16019971000 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Idaho Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Idaho Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Idaho Falls
Top eight tracts in Idaho Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.