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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 16027021300 · Canyon County, ID · pop 2,996

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 16027021300 in Caldwell, ID reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,996. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 33% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units930
Renter share67.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$46,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Caldwell
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 54 tracts In Canyon County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 456 tracts In Idaho
Very High
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Caldwell and the region

Centroid at 43.6631, -116.6746 · click any tract to drill in

Why Caldwell scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Caldwell
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Caldwell
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Caldwell
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Caldwell
2.5

How Caldwell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Caldwell risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0213003.2Caldwellparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Caldwell

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Canyon County average of 42.6%. Average gross rent is $954, 25% below the Caldwell average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 24.8% against 11.3% nationally. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.1 points above the Canyon County average of 3.5. Food insecurity runs 27.3% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the ID average is 3.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 16027021300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021300?

Census tract 16027021300 in Caldwell scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 16027021300?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021300?

21.0% of residents in tract 16027021300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,996.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 78th, minority 77th, housing 99th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 16027021300 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 16027021300 compare to Caldwell overall?

Tract 16027021300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Caldwell at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Caldwell

Top eight tracts in Caldwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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