Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 16027021004 · Canyon County, ID · pop 5,864 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Caldwell

Census tract 16027021004 covers part of Caldwell, ID, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 10% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units1,973

Renter share23.9%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate12.8%

Median income$71,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Caldwell and the region

Centroid at 43.6263, -116.6730 · click any tract to drill in

Why Caldwell scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Caldwell

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

Idaho legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

12.8% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,449 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Caldwell

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Caldwell

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Caldwell

2.5

How Caldwell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.1%Housing insecurity
9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
19.4%Food insecurity
13.5%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
18.0%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
39.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Caldwell

Against Canyon County at 42.6%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. At $1,449 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Caldwell commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Canyon County average of 3.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $71,875.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 16027021004

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021004?

Census tract 16027021004 in Caldwell scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 16027021004?

Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021004?

12.8% of residents in tract 16027021004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,864.

How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 63th, minority 66th, housing 20th.

What share of households in tract 16027021004 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 16027021004 compare to Caldwell overall?

Tract 16027021004 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Caldwell at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Caldwell

Top eight tracts in Caldwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.