Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 16027021004 · Canyon County, ID · pop 5,864 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Caldwell

For landlords sizing up Caldwell, census tract 16027021004 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 14% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,449 a month while the average household earns $71,875 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 10% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units1,973

Renter share23.9%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate12.8%

Median income$71,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Caldwell and the region

Centroid at 43.6263, -116.6730 · click any tract to drill in

Why Caldwell scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Caldwell

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

Idaho legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

12.8% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,449 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Caldwell

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Caldwell

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Caldwell

2.5

How Caldwell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.1%Housing insecurity
9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
19.4%Food insecurity
13.5%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
18.0%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
39.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Caldwell

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Canyon County average of 3.8 and in line with the Idaho statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 16027021004

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021004?

Census tract 16027021004 in Caldwell scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 16027021004?

Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021004?

12.8% of residents in tract 16027021004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,864.

How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 63th, minority 66th, housing 20th.

What share of households in tract 16027021004 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 16027021004 compare to Caldwell overall?

Tract 16027021004 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Caldwell at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Caldwell

Top eight tracts in Caldwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.