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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 16027021702 · Canyon County, ID · pop 6,121 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Caldwell

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 16027021702 in Caldwell, ID reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,121 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 18% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,526
Renter share34.6%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$40,568

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 13 tracts In Caldwell
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 54 tracts In Canyon County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 456 tracts In Idaho
Very High
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Caldwell and the region

Centroid at 43.6405, -116.6642 · click any tract to drill in

Why Caldwell scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Caldwell
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$859 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Caldwell
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Caldwell
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Caldwell
2.5

How Caldwell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Caldwell risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0217023.2Caldwellparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Caldwell

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $859 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Caldwell commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 23.7% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Canyon County average of 3.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Canyon County average of 42.6%. SNAP participation runs 22.3% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ID average is 3.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $40,568. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 16027021702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021702?

Census tract 16027021702 in Caldwell scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 16027021702?

Median gross rent is $859/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021702?

15.2% of residents in tract 16027021702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,121.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 97th, minority 71th, housing 90th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 16027021702 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 16027021702 compare to Caldwell overall?

Tract 16027021702 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Caldwell at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Caldwell

Top eight tracts in Caldwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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