Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Caldwell Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 16027021500 · Canyon County, ID · pop 5,969
Census tract 16027021500 covers part of Caldwell, ID, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,969 residents. Cost burden runs 59% here against 42.6% across Canyon County.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,865
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$46,273
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Caldwell and the region
Centroid at 43.6581, -116.6849 · click any tract to drill in
Why Caldwell scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Caldwell
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$890 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Caldwell
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Caldwell
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Caldwell
2.5
How Caldwell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.5%Food insecurity
- 18.1%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 17.4%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 44.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Caldwell
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $890, 30% below the Caldwell average. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Disability prevalence runs 44.8% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Canyon County average of 3.5.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the ID average is 3.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $46,273.
51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 16027021500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021500?
Census tract 16027021500 in Caldwell scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 16027021500?
Median gross rent is $890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021500?
26.0% of residents in tract 16027021500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,969.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 76th, minority 59th, housing 97th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 16027021500 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 16027021500 compare to Caldwell overall?
Tract 16027021500 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Caldwell at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Caldwell
Top eight tracts in Caldwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · ID
16027021300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · ID
16027021702
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · ID
16027021005
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · ID
16027021202
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · ID
16027021101
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · ID
16027021004
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · ID
16027021600
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · ID
16027021701
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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