Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 16027021500 · Canyon County, ID · pop 5,969

How risky is Caldwell in Canyon County for landlords? Census tract 16027021500 scores 4.4/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $890 a month while the average household earns $46,273 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 21% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,865

Renter share50.8%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate26.0%

Median income$46,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Caldwell and the region

Centroid at 43.6581, -116.6849 · click any tract to drill in

Why Caldwell scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Caldwell

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

Idaho legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

26.0% poverty · this tract

6.5

Supply constraint

$890 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Caldwell

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Caldwell

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Caldwell

2.5

How Caldwell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.3%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
23.5%Food insecurity
18.1%SNAP enrollment
13.4%Transit barriers
17.4%No health insurance
20.3%Frequent mental distress
44.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Caldwell

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Canyon County average of 3.8 and above the Idaho statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 16027021500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021500?

Census tract 16027021500 in Caldwell scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 16027021500?

Median gross rent is $890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021500?

26.0% of residents in tract 16027021500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,969.

How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 76th, minority 59th, housing 97th.

What share of households in tract 16027021500 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 16027021500 compare to Caldwell overall?

Tract 16027021500 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Caldwell at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Caldwell

Top eight tracts in Caldwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.