Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Southtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Park
Tract 17031814700 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,071 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Southtown area of Oak Park is where census tract 17031814700 sits, home to 5,071 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,192 a month while the average household earns $80,536 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,799
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$80,536
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park and the region
Centroid at 41.8615, -87.7976 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southtown scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,192 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park
6.2
How Southtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 20%Grade B
- 80%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 335Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2009)
- 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.8%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southtown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031814700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031814700?
Census tract 17031814700 in the Southtown neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031814700?
Median gross rent is $1,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031814700?
11.8% of residents in tract 17031814700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,071.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031814700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 73th, minority 82th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 17031814700 considered part of Southtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031814700 fall within Southtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031814700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 335 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031814700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.68% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031814700 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031814700 compare to Oak Park overall?
Tract 17031814700 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Park at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031814700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park
Top eight tracts in Oak Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Clyde
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Clyde
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Lavergne
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Lavergne
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Lavergne
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
The Island
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Lavergne
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Oak Park Arts District
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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