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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

The Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cicero

Tract 17031815000 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,839 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The The Island area of Cicero is where census tract 17031815000 sits, home to 3,839 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.4/10. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,233 a month while the average household earns $80,814 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 57% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 37% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,326
Renter share56.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$80,814

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In The Island
Very Low
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 10 tracts In Cicero
Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#825 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#1,443 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cicero and the region

Centroid at 41.8563, -87.7830 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Island scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cicero
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,233 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cicero
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cicero
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cicero
6.2

How The Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Island risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 815000Cicero: 4.94.9Ciceroparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 297Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2011)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318150002001: 17 filings (2.69/100 renter HHs)2002: 10 filings (1.58/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (2.05/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2005: 12 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (4.15/100 renter HHs)2007: 16 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2008: 24 filings (5.85/100 renter HHs)2009: 18 filings (4.39/100 renter HHs)2010: 24 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2011: 32 filings (4.72/100 renter HHs)2012: 22 filings (3.24/100 renter HHs)2013: 32 filings (4.72/100 renter HHs)2014: 28 filings (4.13/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (2.51/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Island

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cicero eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031815000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031815000?

Census tract 17031815000 in the The Island neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031815000?

Median gross rent is $1,233/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031815000?

10.3% of residents in tract 17031815000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,839.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031815000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 64th, minority 87th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 17031815000 considered part of The Island?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031815000 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031815000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031815000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.54% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031815000 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031815000 compare to Cicero overall?

Tract 17031815000 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Cicero at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031815000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cicero

Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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