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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

Southtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oak Park

Tract 17031814700 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,071 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 6.2/10, tract 17031814700 in the Southtown area of Berwyn, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 18% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,799
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$80,536

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Southtown
Elevated
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In Oak Park
Elevated
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#684 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#802 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Park and the region

Centroid at 41.8615, -87.7976 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southtown scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,192 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park
6.2

How Southtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 814700Oak Park: 6.26.2Oak Parkparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 335Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2009)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318147002001: 16 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2002: 14 filings (1.93/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2004: 25 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2005: 20 filings (3.14/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (3.77/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (2.67/100 renter HHs)2008: 22 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2009: 32 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2010: 23 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (5.27/100 renter HHs)2012: 27 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)2013: 26 filings (4.90/100 renter HHs)2014: 31 filings (5.84/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southtown

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10.

Against Cook County at 45.6%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 335 evictions over 15 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 5.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $80,536, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,192, close to the Berwyn average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031814700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031814700?

Census tract 17031814700 in the Southtown neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031814700?

Median gross rent is $1,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031814700?

11.8% of residents in tract 17031814700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,071.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031814700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 73th, minority 82th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 17031814700 considered part of Southtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031814700 fall within Southtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031814700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 335 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031814700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.68% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031814700 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031814700 compare to Oak Park overall?

Tract 17031814700 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Oak Park at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031814700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park

Top eight tracts in Oak Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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