Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Auburn Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031681300 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,323 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031681300 in the Auburn Park area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,323 residents. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units893
Renter share80.2%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate37.2%
Median income$21,888
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7612, -87.6398 · click any tract to drill in
Why Auburn Park scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
37.2% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$1,331 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Auburn Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 83%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,247Total filings over 15 yrs
- 12.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2002)
- 75Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 23% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Auburn Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 44.6%Housing insecurity
- 35.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 59.7%Food insecurity
- 67.6%SNAP enrollment
- 30.2%Transit barriers
- 18.5%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 47.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Auburn Park
Cost burden runs 66% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Set annual rent against average income of $21,888 and the ratio lands at 73%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. SNAP participation runs 67.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The dominant input is economic stress at 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Court records carry 1,247 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2002, when 12.3% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031681300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031681300?
Census tract 17031681300 in the Auburn Park neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031681300?
Median gross rent is $1,331/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031681300?
37.2% of residents in tract 17031681300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,323.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031681300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 78th, minority 99th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 17031681300 considered part of Auburn Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031681300 fall within Auburn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031681300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,247 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031681300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.31% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031681300 struggle to pay rent?
About 44.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 35.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031681300 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031681300 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031681300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 83% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Avalon Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Douglass Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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