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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Trumbull Park Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,964 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10 · range 6.5–8.1

Trumbull Park Homes takes in 2 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 5,964. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.4/10, in the Elevated tier. At $898 a month, rents sit 38% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Cost burden runs 39% against 29.3% citywide, putting Trumbull Park Homes 10.0% over its own city. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 30.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.6/10.

25.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.5 to 8.1, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. 17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Filings are well documented here: 511 across 2 observed tracts.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 11.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.6% in 2015, is well off that peak.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Trumbull Park Homes vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.3% +34%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$898 -38%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$45,704 -39%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
26.7% +59%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
39.1% -28%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Trumbull Park Homes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.5–8.1

Why Trumbull Park Homes scores 7.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
26.7% below poverty line · Range 1.9–10.0 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.6
Risk score comparison

Trumbull Park Homes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Trumbull Park Homes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Trumbull Park Home: 7.47.4Trumbull Park HomeNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Trumbull Park Homes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031838800 8.1 3,225 37% $557
17031520600 6.5 2,739 42% $1,299
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Trumbull Park Homes

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 511Total filings (sum)
  • 3.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.1%Peak year (2010)
  • 2.75%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Trumbull Park Homes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Trumbull Park Homes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Trumbull Park Homes?

Trumbull Park Homes scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Trumbull Park Homes compare to Chicago overall?

Trumbull Park Homes scores 0.7 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $898 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Trumbull Park Homes?

Average gross rent in Trumbull Park Homes is $898/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Trumbull Park Homes residents are renters?

39% of Trumbull Park Homes households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 5,964 residents.
Q5

Is Trumbull Park Homes a high social-vulnerability area?

Trumbull Park Homes sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Trumbull Park Homes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Trumbull Park Homes is census tract 17031838800 (score 8.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 8.1, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Trumbull Park Homes for landlords?

Trumbull Park Homes carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Trumbull Park Homes?

Trumbull Park Homes has 5,608 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (63.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Trumbull Park Homes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Trumbull Park Homes.

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