Lakeshore East Eviction Risk: Moderate

The voucher gap is 55.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 9.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Chicago rate of 29.3%.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.3/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 447 evictions logged in this tract.

Food insecurity affects 7.0% of adults, 10.8 points below the national rate. 3.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 6.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.8% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #168 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.