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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Bucktown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031221600 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,389 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 17031221600 covers part of the Bucktown area of Chicago, IL, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 21% here against 45.6% across Cook County.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 42% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,368
Renter share53.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$138,152

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Bucktown
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#790 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#944 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#1,346 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9212, -87.6851 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bucktown scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,976 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Bucktown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bucktown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 221600Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 131Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2004)
  • 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312216002001: 13 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (0.75/100 renter HHs)2003: 9 filings (0.96/100 renter HHs)2004: 16 filings (1.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (0.58/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (0.92/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (0.58/100 renter HHs)2009: 11 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)2010: 8 filings (0.93/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (2.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2013: 10 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (0.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 92% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bucktown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bucktown

At $1,976 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Chicago commands. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

Disability prevalence runs 15.9% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Court records carry 131 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

The voucher gap is 12.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2004, when 1.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031221600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031221600?

Census tract 17031221600 in the Bucktown neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031221600?

Median gross rent is $1,976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031221600?

6.3% of residents in tract 17031221600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,389.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031221600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 5th, minority 53th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 17031221600 considered part of Bucktown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031221600 fall within Bucktown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031221600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 131 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031221600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.06% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031221600 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031221600 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031221600 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031221600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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