Bucktown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031221600 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,389 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 17031221600 covers part of the Bucktown area of Chicago, IL, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 21% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9212, -87.6851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bucktown scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bucktown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 131Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2004)
- 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bucktown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 15.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Bucktown
At $1,976 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Chicago commands. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Disability prevalence runs 15.9% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 131 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
The voucher gap is 12.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2004, when 1.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 17031221600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031221600?
What is the average rent in tract 17031221600?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031221600?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031221600?
Is tract 17031221600 considered part of Bucktown?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031221600?
What share of households in tract 17031221600 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17031221600 compare to Chicago overall?
Was tract 17031221600 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.