South Lynn Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 53.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $29,469, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 28.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,152, 20% below the Chicago average. Court records carry 223 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 12.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.