Canaryville Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. SNAP participation runs 31.4% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 31.5% against 17.8% nationally. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Cost burden runs about half here against 45.6% across Cook County. At $1,309 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.