Within neighborhood
14
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Central Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031842100 · Cook County, IL · pop 7,110 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 17031842100 sits in the Central Park area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 7,110 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,096
Renter share45.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$60,741
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8953, -87.7336 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Park scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,001 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Central Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 44%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 964Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2001)
- 54Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.9%Housing insecurity
- 19.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.6%Food insecurity
- 37.7%SNAP enrollment
- 18.1%Transit barriers
- 23.7%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Park
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Housing insecurity runs 31.9% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,001, 30% below the Chicago average.
It sits 1.9 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 964 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 8.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031842100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031842100?
Census tract 17031842100 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031842100?
Median gross rent is $1,001/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031842100?
18.9% of residents in tract 17031842100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,110.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031842100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 80th, minority 96th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 17031842100 considered part of Central Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031842100 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031842100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 964 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031842100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.29% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031842100 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031842100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031842100 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031842100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Avalon Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Douglass Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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